2025 Recession Probability

2025 Recession Probability. 26 rows us recession probability is at 29.40%, compared to 33.56% last. Recession will someday be determined to have begun between december 2024 and december 2025 has dropped below 50%.


2025 Recession Probability

View an estimate of the probability of recession based on employment, industrial production, real personal income, and real manufacturing and trade sales. A us recession in 2025 is likely.

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